AI-driven surge in bond yields could be next risk for markets and growth

Market gauges of inflation-adjusted borrowing costs have shot to their highest in more than a decade across major economies as AI companies and governments ramp up bond sales, raising ​risks for stock markets and the world economy.

Reuters • Aug 14, 2026

Iran Conflict Reorders The Bond Market's Hierarchy Of Havens

The Iran war has scrambled the old map of safety, leaving bond investors rethinking which havens still deserve the name. Perhaps the most surprising trend since the conflict began: bank loans have outperformed the rest of the field by a wide margin, based on a set of ETFs through yesterday's close (July 8).

Seeking Alpha • Jul 9, 2026

With Inflation Surging, Is a Bond ETF the Best Investment Right Now? Here's What History Suggests.

The odds of rate hikes are rising as inflation stays hot. Traditional bond ETFs will struggle, but inflation-protected bond ETFs could thrive.

The Motley Fool • Jun 19, 2026

Powell Stays

Key Takeaways The April FOMC meeting's four dissents and resistance to maintaining an easing bias signal a higher bar for rate cuts under incoming Chair Warsh, suggesting investors may favor Treasury floating-rate strategies to navigate a prolonged “higher-for-longer” environment.

ETF Trends • May 10, 2026

FLRN: Very Low-Risk Bond ETF, Except Sector Exposure

State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF offers a diversified portfolio of short-duration, investment-grade floating-rate notes with minimal interest rate sensitivity.

Seeking Alpha • Feb 9, 2026

FLRN: A Fine Way To Play The Fed Staying At Current Rates

The State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF offers near-zero duration risk and variable rate exposure with a small kicker from IG credit spreads. There was a further reduction in Fed Funds rate targets in the form of the latest October interest rate decision, but markets are revising upwards their expectations of cut depth. Issues like persisting CPI are a problem due to anchoring effects, and the latest cut, despite limited data from a government shutdown, addresses continued job market pressure.

Seeking Alpha • Nov 13, 2025

FLRN: Simple Cash-Plus ETF, Stable Share Price, Good Dividend Yield

Federal Reserve rates remain elevated, as do yields on cash and similar investments. FLRN invests in floating rate notes. Similar characteristics to t-bills, with a little bit more in risk, a little bit more in income. It yields 5.1%, and is a solid choice for more risk-averse investors.

Seeking Alpha • Aug 27, 2025

Bonds Rally On Weak Payrolls Data

The bond market looks increasingly focused on slowing economic growth vs. tariff inflation.

Seeking Alpha • Aug 4, 2025

FLRN: Caution Warranted (Rating Downgrade)

FLRN underperformed peers during the April 2025 sell-off and offers a yield only marginally above Fed Funds, limiting its upside. The ETF's heavy exposure to financials increases risk, especially in a recession or if spreads widen, despite its high credit quality. Alternatives like NEAR and SHY provide better risk-reward, especially as rate cuts loom and FLRN's yield premium narrows.

Seeking Alpha • Jun 18, 2025

Most U.S. Treasury Prices Slide Since 'Liberation Day'

In recent days, a new headwind is weighing on fixed income securities: a US government budget bill, which is expected to significantly raise an already hefty federal deficit in the years ahead. Long-term Treasuries are the biggest losers post-Liberation Day, based on a set of ETFs through yesterday's close (May 21).

Seeking Alpha • May 22, 2025