Market Brief: The Quarter's Most Pivotal 48 Hours

On Wednesday, July 29, the FOMC rate decision will be followed by Microsoft and Meta earnings after the close. Thursday begins with the advance estimate of Q2 GDP and the June PCE inflation report before Apple and Amazon report after the bell. CME FedWatch currently implies a 62–65% probability that the Fed holds rates in July, with the remaining probability assigned to a hike.

Seeking Alpha • Jul 28, 2026

Yields Rise on Middle East Crisis: Inverse Treasury ETFs to Buy

Treasury yields climbed as Middle East tensions linger. These inverse Treasury ETFs could benefit if inflation and bond yields keep rising.

Zacks Investment Research • Jul 22, 2026

This Isn't 2022 - It's Not Time For TBX (Rating Downgrade)

I initially rated ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury ETF a "Buy" in April 2022 due to rising rates; now, I rate it a "Sell". TBX had a 14.3% annualized return from April 2022 to October 2023, while iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF had an APR of -8.7%. The Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduction and rising national debt will put upward pressure on intermediate Treasuries in the longer-term.

Seeking Alpha • Mar 28, 2025

Rates Spark: ECB Presser Bear-Flattened The Curve

The ECB cut rates by 25bp as widely anticipated, but a slightly hawkish tilt bear flattened the EUR curve, which in our view remains priced aggressively. In the US, as the markets head towards the Fed's first rate cut, the probability of a larger cut rose slightly on Thursday.

Seeking Alpha • Sep 13, 2024

Estimating The Impact Of Lower Rates On Bond Fund Dividends

It generally takes a few years for changes in Federal Reserve rates to fully impact bond fund dividends. Bond funds are still benefitting from prior rate hikes. Perhaps by enough to cancel out any future rate cuts. By my estimations, and under current Fed guidance, most bond funds would only start to see declining dividends in 2025, at the earliest.

Seeking Alpha • Feb 11, 2024

Wall Street's Freaky Season, Trading Updates And China's Disappointing Data

China's disappointing economic data and a surprise rate cut from the Central Bank dampen market sentiment. Long-term resistance on the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield at 4.30% is a key level to watch.

Seeking Alpha • Aug 21, 2023

TBX Was Profitable In 2022, Now It Is A Sell

ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury (TBX) ETF was profitable in 2022. Since 10/20/2022, TBX reversed to its normal behavior, showing continuous losses.

Seeking Alpha • Jan 15, 2023

TBX: A Rare Way To Profit From A Bond Bear Market

ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury (TBX) ETF aims to profit from declines in U.S. Treasury Bond prices. When yields rise, TBX aims to deliver positive returns, and the opposite is also true.

Seeking Alpha • Oct 19, 2022

TBX: The Yield Curve Through The Lens Of Inflation

This article looks at the differences and divergence of the short end of the yield curve compared to the 10-year to 2-year yield curve segment.

Seeking Alpha • Apr 11, 2022

Bet on Inverse Treasury ETFs Now to Play Rise in Yields

The benchmark U.S. Treasury yield soared to its highest point in two years on Jan 18, 2022. Hence, investors can bet on inverse treasury bond ETFs.

Zacks Investment Research • Jan 19, 2022