The Stock Market Flashes a Warning as President Trump Announces New Tariffs. History Says the S&P 500 Will Do This Next.

President Trump quickly replaced the IEEPA tariffs ruled illegal by the Supreme Court with a 15% global tariff that brings the effective tax rate on U.S. imports to 13.7%. Several studies show U.S. businesses and consumers have paid most of the tariffs, and weak jobs numbers, slowing economic growth, and rising inflation support that conclusion.

The Motley Fool • 16 hours ago

S&P 500 expected to start flat as new Trump tariffs begin

A moderately positive start for US stocks is expected on Tuesday, after Donald Trump's new 10% global tariff kicked in overnight.  Nasdaq futures were up 0.2%, while those for the Dow Jones were pointing to a 0.1% gain, while S&P 500 futures were flat.

Proactive Investors • 12 hours ago

NASDAQ Index, S&P 500 and Dow Jones Forecasts – US Indices See Lackluster Action Early

The US indices continue to see a lot of noise, as traders worry about the tariff situation, as well as the Federal Reserve, and what they are doing with monetary policy.

FXEmpire • 12 hours ago

Midterm Year Slump And Post-Election Bump: Simulating Returns For The S&P 500 Through 2027

The S&P 500 is rated Hold due to balanced headwinds and tailwinds through the 2026 midterm cycle. Historical patterns and Monte Carlo simulations suggest a likely correction before the 2026 election, but a strong post-election rebound.

Seeking Alpha • 7 hours ago

The S&P 500 Trails the Global Stock Market by Its Widest Margin Since 1995 as President Trump's Policies Rattle Investors

The S&P 500 has underperformed the global stock market by 9 percentage points year to date and 25 percentage points since President Trump took office. Investors have gravitated toward international equities because U.S. stocks are expensive and President Trump's policies threaten to slow economic growth.

The Motley Fool • Feb 23, 2026

Citrini research: S&P 500 to drop 38% from 2026 highs by June 2028

In a sweeping and provocative macro-analysis titled "The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis," Citrini Research has outlined a sobering vision of a financial future where the very success of Artificial Intelligence becomes the primary engine of economic instability. The report, co-authored by Alap Shah, suggests that by June 2028, the global economy may be caught in an "intelligence displacement spiral"—a negative feedback loop where abundant machine intelligence renders human labor obsolete.

Invezz • Feb 23, 2026

S&P 500 Range Breakout Could Signal Support for Bulls

If I sound like a broken record, the price action in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) has done nothing to change my tune. It has been 58 trading sessions since the index climbed back above the level that defined its mid-November breakdown below a multi-month bull channel. In those 58 trading sessions, the level where the breakdown occurred marked the low boundary of the range, and the late-October high at 6,920 has mostly defined the top.

Schaeffers Research • Feb 23, 2026

NASDAQ Index, Dow Jones and S&P 500 Forecasts – US Indices Continue to Trade in Range

US indices trying to continue the uptrend, but at this point also have to be classified as “positive, but range bound.”

FXEmpire • Feb 23, 2026

There's another AI-doom post doing the rounds. This time, the S&P 500 dives nearly 40%.

A booming AI economy may be very bad for the broader economy, according to Citrini Research

Market Watch • Feb 23, 2026

The ‘Magnificent Seven' is now the ‘Lag 7.' How Big Tech's slump is dragging down the S&P 500.

A breakdown of the “Magnificent Seven” and AI hyperscalers raises concern for the stock market and the economy

Market Watch • Feb 23, 2026